The first year of the expanded NFL playoffs still left us with seven post-season spots to grab when we approached week 17. This is more than any other year since at least 1990, when the last expansion of the field resulted in the last wild week of the regular season.

Here’s the post-season outlook and exciting scenarios ahead, as well as an analysis of the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) after Sunday night’s victory over the Packers.

Pay attention: X designates the team that qualified for the play-offs, Y designates the team that qualified for the division and Z designates the team that earned a place in the first round.

Jump! Jump! Jump! Jump! Jump! Jump! Jump! Jump! AFC | NFC

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AFC

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

It doesn’t matter how it happens, as long as it happens, right? Chiefs consolidated their AFC lead in Sunday qualifiers despite being on the ropes for most of the game. They eventually won when Falcons Pro Bowl player Younghoe Koo missed a 39-yard goal with 9 seconds left in the game.

The Chiefs have their only chance to advance to the AFC first round, and their next away game will be either the Super Bowl or the 2021 season.

The rest of the program: against the chargers.

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

The Steelers came out of a long dip in half of Sunday’s game against the Colts, scoring three touchdowns to win and take victory over AFC North. They temporarily moved to second place and stay there until week 17 when the Bills lose to the Patriots on Monday night.

Rest of the game plan: The Browns.

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

2 Connected

Winning the Bills’ Week 15 in Denver made them AFC East champions for the first time since Jim Kelly became their starting quarterback. But on Sunday they learned that they couldn’t overtake the Chiefs for the first place in the general classification.

As for second place, they have a tie with the Steelers. And in general, the accounts are inconsistent. They have won seven of their last eight games, losing only to the cardinals in week 10 to a Hail Mary. But Pittsburgh will remain in the lead for the time being after Sunday’s victory at the Colts.

The rest of the program: Patriots vs. Dolphins.

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FPI’s chances of qualifying for the play-offs: 91% chance for the
FPI to win the division: 66%

The Titans failed to win the AFC South title on Sunday night, losing to the Packers, but they will have plenty of chances to do so in Week 17 thanks to a defeat against the Colts in Pittsburgh. The Titans go forward with a victory over the Texans or by losing on the Ravens, Colts or Dolphins.

Remaining schedule: in Texas.

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Chance for FPI to make the play-offs: 83% chance for the
FPI to win the division: Eliminates

The Dolphins claimed one of their biggest and most spectacular victories of the season on Saturday night, maintaining their place in the AFC Top 7 with a victory over the Raiders. The return of Ryan Fitzpatrick could not only take the Dolphins in the playoffs, but could also give the Dolphins a chance to face the Browns or another qualifying team.

The Dolphins cannot win in week 16, but a win in week 17 against the Bills would be like a loss against the Ravens, Browns or Colts.

The rest of the timetable is shown in the accounts.

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Chance for FPI to make the play-offs: 94% chance for the
FPI to win the division: Eliminates

Sunday’s victory at the Giants, combined with the loss of the Jets to the Browns, put the Ravens back in the playoffs. They have now won four games in a row and are not a team everyone in the AFC would look forward to. To secure a place in the off-season, all they have to do is win in Cincinnati in week 17. Ravens also come into play when Browns or Colts lose.

The rest of the program: in Bengal

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Chance for FPI to make the playoffs: 55% chance for the
FPI to win the division: Eliminates

The Browns lost to the Jets on Sunday. It was real, well, the Browns. The Browns play against a team exhausted in the 19th minute of COVID, lose on a team that wins a game and blow their chances to qualify for one of the streams.

They have a head-to-head with the Colts and can secure a play-off spot in week 17 with a home victory of the Steelers. You can also win if the Colts lose or because of this combination: The Titans lose their last race and the Raven, Colts and Dolphins win in week 17.

The rest of the program: against the Steelers.

Still hunting for AFK

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Indianapolis Colts (10-5): After the loss of Sunday in Pittsburgh, the Colts are out of the playoffs, but not because of the shortcomings of the Titans, Browns and Dolphins. The Colts will need help in week 17 to secure their place. They need a victory first. They have to lose to the Titans, the Crows, the Browns or the Dolphins. A victory and a defeat for the Titans would also give the Colts the AFC Southern Championship title. It seems a lot, but the FPI gives the Colts a 78% chance to make the play-offs.

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NFC

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

The Packers failed to take the lead in the NFC, despite Sunday night’s victory over the Titans, as both the Saints and the Seahawks won in week 16. They can fix this by beating the bears at week 17. FPI gives Green Bay an 82% chance to win the game.

If they lose to the bears, the Packers still have home advantage as the Seahawks lose to the 49ers. The Seahawks will have a tie-break between the two teams if they both finish 12-4.

Remaining program: Bears

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

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Here is what the post-season range looks like now and what the future scenarios are.
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The Saints won their fourth straight southern NFC Championship on Friday with a wild victory over the Vikings. The question now is whether they can overtake the Packers for the first place at the conference. The easiest way would be to defeat the Panthers and then lose the Packers to the Bears in week 17. The IPF gives him about a 13% chance.

The Panthers have the rest of their program

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Clinic

The Seahawks defeated NFC West in Sunday’s victory over the Rams. And they’re not out of the running for the NFC top spot yet, but they have to beat the 49ers in week 17 and lose the Packers and Saints. It’s unlikely, but not impossible. The REIT estimates that there is a 5% chance that this will happen.

Remaining schedule: at 49 hours

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FPI’s chances of qualifying for the play-offs: 56% chance of winning the
FPI in the division : 56%

After 16 weeks of madness, the NFC East title will be thrown out in week 17. Award-winning week. Washington will win if the Eagles win. Otherwise, the winner of the competition between the Giants and Cowboys will win the division in week 17.

And yes, that means that a team of less than five hundred people will officially win the division. Ugh. It only happened twice in the Super Bowl era: The 2014 Panthers (7-8-1) and the 2010 Seahawks (7-9). The winner of NFC East will be the first team in NFL history (out of 342 contenders) to start the season 2-7 or worse and make the playoffs, according to research by the Elias Sports Bureau.

Remaining game plan: with the Eagles, the

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IVET’s chances of making the playoffs: Compressed
FPI’s chances of winning the division: Eliminates

The Bucs earned a play-off spot with a victory over the Lions on Saturday, but Friday’s victory over the Saints knocked them out of the NFC South title race. Either way, the Buccaneers should be able to secure a place in the NFC qualifiers with a victory over Atlanta next weekend.

The rest of the program: against the Falcons.

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FPI’s chances of qualifying for the play-offs: 89% chance of winning in division
FPI : Eliminates

The Rams missed the playoffs this weekend by losing to the Seahawks. To do this, they must either win in week 17 or lose to the bears. If the Rams lose and the Bears win, Los Angeles will miss the post-season after having a 96.2 percent chance to make the playoffs in week 16, according to the FPI.

The rest of the program: against the cardinals.

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Chance for FPI to make the play-offs: 78% chance for the
FPI to win the division: Eliminates

Sunday’s victory in Jacksonville, after the Cardinals lost to the 49ers on Saturday, brought the bears to the brink of an incredible play-off success. They must either defeat the Packers in week 17 or force the Cardinals to lose to the Rams to get a place in the post-season.

Rest of the game plan: Against the Packers.

Always on the hunt for NFC

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The Cardinals of Arizona (8-7): After the loss of Saturday for the 49ers, the Cardinals need help to make the playoffs. For that they need a victory in week 17 and a defeat against the Bears (33% chance, according to FPI).

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Dallas Cowboys (6-9): The Cowboys can win NFC East if they beat the Giants in week 17 and lose Washington to the Eagles. Among the surviving teams, Dallas has the lowest chance of making the FPI play-offs with 16%.

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The Giants of New York (5-10): In the same way, the Giants can win NFC East if they beat the Cowboys in week 17 and lose Washington to the Eagles. The REIT gives New York a 28% chance of success.

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